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Katie Boulter in the first round of the 2025 Australian Open, Melbourne
Katie Boulter in the first round of the 2025 Australian Open, Melbourne | (Photo by Graham Denholm/Getty Images)

Tennis | WTA Madrid 2025 | Katie Boulter looks for her first Madrid win but has a tough start against Katerina Siniakova

Ros Satar
Tennis

By Ros Satar

  • Katie Boulter v Katerina Siniakova
  • H2H: First Meeting
MADRID, SPAIN – Katie Boulter has yet to get a first main draw win in Madrid, and she has a tough start ahead against Katerina Siniakova.

 

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Katie Boulter v Katerina Siniakova | H2H & Match Fundamentals

Katie Boulter v Katerina Siniakova H2H: Stearns leads 2-0
WTA Madrid Spain
Clay (O) Prize Money: €20,820
Fourth on Manolo Santana Stadium, not before 3:30pm (2:30pm BST) Sky/Now TV <- Subscription Required

Katie Boulter faces a tough start to get her Madrid campaign up and running, against Katerina Siniakova.

 

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats (Hard – 2025)

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H2H: Katie Boulter (WR 35) Peyton Stearns (WR 43)
Tournament Previous Best R2 (2024) R2 (2017, 2022)
1st Serve Return Points Won % 29.4 39.6
Return Points Won % 39.2 46.4
Break Point Conversion % 66.7 40.7
Break Points Saved % 50.0 52.4
Overall Service Points Won % 57.1 56.4

Surprisingly the altitude of Madrid has not been a friend to Siniakova either, with neither player having advanced past the second round, but Boulter’s stop and start year has her trailing Siniakova in all but break point conversions and just sneaks ahead on overall service points won.

 

 

Playing Styles & Prediction

Boulter is not at her most proficient on clay, but she has been working hard on improving aspects of her game, but the clay game in Madrid is different to what she can expect when the tour rumbles on to Rome and Paris.

The altitude makes the ball fizz along but so Boulter was unable to capitalise on it on her tournament debut, with the benefit of a bye.

Siniakova is an old hand at the event, and even won the doubles in 2021, but in terms of singles, she too has not managed to get past the second round. And where Boulter can remain quite level headed, Siniakova still wears her heart on her sleeve, so anything is possible if the Czech has one of her meltdowns.

It is still a tough ask for Boulter, and if nothing else, it will go the distance.

Prediction: Siniakova in three sets.

 

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