Carlos Alcaraz in the fourth round of Roland Garros 2023, Paris, France
Carlos Alcaraz in the fourth round of Roland Garros 2023, Paris, France | (Photo by Richard Callis/Eurasia Sport Images/Getty Images)

Tennis | Wimbledon 2024 | The road to the Wimbledon quarter-finals: Assessing their title chances

By Tony Fairbairn at Wimbledon

  • Men’s quarter-finalists: Jannik Sinner [1], Novak Djokovic [2], Carlos Alcaraz [3], Daniil Medvedev [5], Alex De Minaur [9], Tommy Paul [12], Taylor Fritz [13], Lorenzo Musetti [25]
  • Women’s quarter-finalists: Elena Rybkaina [4], Jasmine Paolini [7], Jelena Ostapenko [13], Emma Navarro [19], Elina Svitolina [21], Barbora Krejcikova [31], Donna Vekic, Lulu Sun [Q]
LONDON, ENGLAND – The quarter-final line-up is set with big names left and upsets caused but what does the path look like for the remaining quarter-finalists on the road to Wimbledon glory?


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Men’s Singles

There has been high-quality drama and entertainment in the men’s tournament as the final eight remain. In terms of the final line-up there should be no real surprises as the quarter-finalists either have good form heading into Wimbledon or they have good history at SW19. Players such as Hubert Hurkacz, Andrey Rublev and Grigor Dimitrov would have been disappointed to not be in the latter stages of the tournament with Stuttgart champion Jack Draper also feeling frustrated at his performances at Wimbledon this year.

Now the stage is set for the quarter-finals as some exciting matches are ahead in the latter stages of the tournament. Now it’s time to loom at how each player reached the last eight and who is best placed to go all the way and win the title.


Jannik Sinner [1]

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Jannik Sinner has carried the momentum from his title win in Halle into Wimbledon as he has continued to grow in confidence throughout the tournament. The Italian survived a massive test against former finalist Matteo Berrettini which has only solidified why he is the man to beat not only at Wimbledon but over the course of the year. Now Sinner prepares for another battle with Medvedev and aims for a semi-final showdown with Alcaraz.

Sinner’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Yannick Hanfmann 6-3 6-3 3-6 6-3

R2: Matteo Berrettini 7-6(3) 7-6(4) 2-6 7-6(4)

R3: Miomir Kecmanovic 6-1 6-4 6-2

R4: Ben Shelton [14] 6-2 6-4 7-6(9)


Novak Djokovic [2]

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Novak Djokovic has overcome doubts over his knee to raise his level gradually and reach the last eight. The Serb has had plenty of match practice in the first four rounds with Jacob Fearnley and Alexei Popyrin testing Djokovic’s pressure under serve as well as his movement. Now the Serb is the favourite to reach another final at Wimbledon as he will try to avenge last year’s agonising defeat to Alcaraz.

Djokovic’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Vit Kopriva [Q] 6-1 6-2 6-2

R2: Jacob Fearnley [WC] 6-3 6-4 5-7 7-5

R3: Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3)

R4: Holger Rune [15] 6-3 6-4 6-2


Carlos Alcaraz [3]

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Carlos Alcaraz’s Wimbledon title defence has been by no means smooth but the Spaniard has once again shown that when push comes to shove he can be counted on in the big moments. Tight wins over Frances Tiafoe and Ugo Humbert have seen Alcaraz in good form but those long matches could come back to haunt him should he play Sinner and Djokovic in the last two rounds.

Alcaraz’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Mark Lajal [Q] 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2

R2: Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(5) 6-2 6-2

R3: Frances Tiafoe [29] 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2

R4: Ugo Humbert [16] 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5

Daniil Medvedev [5]

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Daniil Medvedev is into a second consecutive Wimbledon quarter-final after enduring tough wins over Alexandre Muller and Jan-Lennard Struff. Now Medvedev will feel that he can give Sinner his toughest test of the tournament in the quarter-finals as he continues his intense rivalry with the world number one.

Medvedev’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-4 6-2

R2: Alexandre Muller 6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5

R3: Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 6-3 4-6 7-6(3)

R4: Grigor Dimitrov [10] 5-3 RET


Alex De Minaur [9]

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Alex De Minaur has continued his great season with a run to the quarter-finals on one of his favourite surfaces. Now the Australian will hope that his hip injury isn’t serious as he takes on seven-time champion Djokovic for a place in the semi-finals.

De Minaur’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: James Duckworth [LL] 7-6(1) 7-6(3) 7-6(4)

R2: Jaume Munar 6-2 6-2 7-5

R3: Lucas Pouille W/O

R4: Arthur Fils 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-3


Tommy Paul [12]

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Tommy Paul has continued his very good form into Wimbledon as the Queen’s Club champion is into the last eight. However, the American has had a very tricky route to the quarter-finals having endured multiple four set and five set matches. Paul will now test out his reputation as one of the fittest guys on the tour when he takes on defending champion Alcaraz, who he has a good record against.

Paul’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Pedro Martinez 6-2 6-1 4-6 6-3

R2: Otto Virtanen [Q] 4-6 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-4

R3: Alexander Bublik [23] 6-3 6-4 6-2

R4: Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 7-6(3) 6-2


Taylor Fritz [13]

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Taylor Fritz is back in the quarter-finals at Wimbledon as he produced a brilliant comeback to knock out Roland Garros finalist Alexander Zverev. Now the American will aim to capitalize on a big opportunity as he has his sights set on a semi-final showdown with Djokovic.

Fritz’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Christopher O’Connell 6-1 6-2 6-4

R2: Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-4

R3: Alejandro Tabilo [24] 7-6(3) 6-3 7-5

R4: Alexander Zverev [4] 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 6-3


Lorenzo Musetti [25]

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Lorenzo Musetti is into his first quarter-final at Wimbledon with some aggressive play as he finally seems to be delivering on the big stages. Now the Italian will aim to carry his form into the latter stages as he will hope all the long matches he has endured so far will be worth it.

Musetti’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Constant Lestienne 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2 6-2

R2: Luciano Darderi 6-4 4-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4

R3: Francisco Comesana 6-2 6-7(4) 7-6(3) 6-3

R4: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard [LL] 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2



Women’s Singles

Once again the women’s tournament has been full of surprises with only one former champion left in the draw. There has been shock defeats for world number one Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula and defending champion Marketa Vondrousova. Meanwhile from a British perspective there was fourth round heartbreak for Harriet Dart and Emma Raducanu. Now opportunity awaits for the remaining quarter-finalists as it’s now time to look at how the women’s draw turned into chaos once again.


Elena Rybakina [4]

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Elena Rybakina is the only former champion left in the draw as the Kazakh has cruised through the draw so far. Now Rybakina has her best opportunity yet to win a second Grand Slam title as she enters the quarter-finals as the favourite to win the title, although as this tournament has already proved that counts for nothing.

Rybakina’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Elena-Gabriela Ruse 6-3 6-1

R2: Laura Siegemund 6-3 3-6 6-3

R3: Caroline Wozniacki [WC] 6-0 6-1

R4: Anna Kalinskaya [17] 6-3 3-0 RET


Jasmine Paolini [7]

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Jasmine Paolini has shown determination, courage and been on the good end of some luck in order to reach a maiden Wimbledon quarter-final. The Italian is now two wins away from a second consecutive Grand Slam final as she is the slight favourite to reach the final from the bottom half of the draw.

Paolini’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Sara Sorribes Tormo 7-5 6-3

R2: Greet Minnen 7-6(5) 6-2

R3: Bianca Andreescu 7-6(4) 6-1

R4: Madison Keys [12] 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 RET


Jelena Ostapenko [13]

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In terms of confidence and style of play, Jelena Ostapenko is the favourite to go all the way as the Latvian has cruised through her draw so far. Now Ostapenko is hoping to continue her brutal form as she faces fellow Roland Garros champion Krejcikova next.

Ostapenko’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Ajla Tomljanovic 6-1 6-2

R2: Daria Snigur [Q] 6-3 6-0

R3: Bernarda Pera 6-1 6-3

R4: Yulia Putintseva 6-2 6-3


Emma Navarro [19]

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Emma Navarro has showed great variety, power and composure in order to beat former Grand Slam champions Naomi Osaka and Coco Gauff. The American’s Grand Slam breakthrough has been coming and now the 19th seed aims to capitalize on her success and go all the way at Wimbledon.

Navarro’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Qiang Wang 6-0 6-2

R2: Naomi Osaka [WC] 6-4 6-1

R3: Diana Schanider 2-6 6-3 6-4

R4: Coco Gauff [2] 6-4 6-3


Elina Svitolina [21]

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After surviving a tough opening round match, Elina Svitolina has shown confident form despite the back drop of the traumatic events happening in her home country. Now the Ukrainian will aim to go one better than her semi-final performance last year as she continues to go through a tough section in the draw.

Svitolina’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Magda Linette 7-5 6-7(11) 6-3

R2: Jule Niemeier 6-3 6-4

R3: Ons Jabeur [10] 6-1 7-6(4)

R4: Xinyu Wang 6-2 6-1


Barbora Krejcikova [31]

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Barbora Krejcikova has battled her way into form after surviving two epic contests against Veronika Kudermetova and Katie Volynets. Now Krejcikova will look to use her variety and power in order to seize a big opportunity at Wimbledon.

Krejcikova’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Veronika Kudermetova 7-6(4) 6-7(1) 7-5

R2: Katie Volynets [Q] 7-6(6) 7-6(5)

R3: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-0 4-3 RET

R4: Danielle Collins [11] 7-5 6-3


Donna Vekic

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Donna Vekic is into her first Wimbledon quarter-final as she has been in incredible form over the last few weeks. The Croatian will never get a better opportunity to reach a first Grand Slam semi-final and will hope to rise to the pressure having lost two previous Grand Slam quarter-finals.

Vekic’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Xiyu Wang 3-6 6-3 6-4

R2: Erika Andreeva [LL] 6-2 6-3

R3: Dayana Yastremska [28] 7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-1

R4: Paula Badosa 6-2 1-6 6-4


Lulu Sun [Q]

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Lulu Sun has produced a historic run at Wimbledon so far as she has continued her run from qualifying into the main draw. The New Zealander’s aggressive and proactive style of play will be a tough nut for anyone to crack as she plays Vekic for a spot in a first ever Grand Slam semi-final.

Sun’s route to the quarter-finals:

R1: Qinwen Zheng [8] 4-6 6-2 6-4

R2: Yulia Starodubtseva [Q] 4-6 6-3 6-2

R3: Lin Zhu 7-6(4) 7-6(6)

R4: Emma Raducanu [WC] 6-2 5-7 6-2



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