Katie Boulter in the first round of Wimbledon 2018
Katie Boulter in the first round of Wimbledon 2018 | (Photo by Matthew Lewis/Getty Images)

Tennis | Wimbledon 2021 | Katie Boulter takes on No. 2 seed Aryna Sabalenka in second round

  • Katie Boulter [W] v Aryna Sabalenka [2]
LONDON, UK – Katie Boulter and Aryna Sabalenka both are bidding to go beyond the second round for the first time.


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Katie Boulter [W] v Aryna Sabalenka [2]

It seems hardly conceivable that World No. 4 Aryna Sabalenka has never made it past the second round, so does Katie Boulter have a chance?


H2H & Match Fundamentals

Katie Boulter [W] v Aryna Sabalenka [2] H2H: Sabalenka leads 1-0
Wimbledon London, UK
Grass (O) Prize Money: £75,000
Second on Centre Court, not before 3:30pm BST BBC Sport


Tale of the Tape – Key Stats (2021 – Grass)

Embed from Getty Images
H2H: Katie Boulter (WR 219) Aryna Sabalenka (WR 4)
Tournament Previous Best R2 (2018) R2 (2017)
1st Serve Return Points Won % 40.9 40.7
Return Points Won % 43.4 45.5
Break Point Conversion % 42.5 61.5
Break Points Saved % 68.0 67.6
Total Points Won % 54.1 54.8


There are a few areas where Boulter just edges Sabalenka, but outside of break point conversions they are closely matched on their grass court results.


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Playing Styles & Prediction

Boulter is an aggressive baseliner and will be relying on her big first serve to get some free points. If she can combine it with her forehand, it is an effective one-two-punch combo, but of the forehand starts to go astray, there does not seem to be much of a plan B which could explain the lower break point conversion rate despite having been more successful on the grass this year.

What we will see is the pair battering the covers off the ball- and none more so that Sabalenka’s all or nothing aggressive style of play. Her serve is just as potent as Boulters, if not more so, but she also is not averse to coming to the net.

So why has it been so hard for her to make a Slam breakthrough, especially on a surface that should respond well to her style of play.

She bullied Monica Niculescu off the court, but Boulter should be able to make things trickier, matching her style.

Prediction: Sabalenka in three sets.


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