Swiatek enters her Roland Garros title defence with slight injuries as well as being beaten by her rivals in Madrid and Rome but as her fans will know, Swiatek at Roland Garros is a different animal.
Swiatek’s Path to the Final (Ranking/Seeding)
R1: Cristina Bucsa | H2H: Swiatek leads 1-0
R2: Claire Liu | H2H: Swiatek leads 2-0
R3: Marie Bouzkova  | H2H: First Meeting
R4: Barbora Krejcikova  | H2H: Tied at 2-2
QF: Coco Gauff  | H2H: Swiatek leads 6-0
SF: Elena Rybakina  | H2H: Rybakina leads 3-1
F: Aryna Sabalenka  | H2H: Swiatek leads 5-3
The world number one has a very comfortable opening two rounds to adapt to conditions and see if she’s 100% fit. Then a tricky test against Marie Bouzkova could await in the third round before facing fellow Roland Garros champion Barbora Krejcikova in the last 16. Krejcikova will have to get past Victoria Azarenka or Bianca Andreescu before then as the pair will meet in the opening round so that may favour the defending champion. A final rematch could await in the last eight against Coco Gauff before facing her nearest rivals in the latter stages. Overall it’s a tough draw for Swiatek to navigate through that may take its toll come the final however never count the Pole especially at Roland Garros.
Sabalenka’s clay court prowess will be tested with a very tough opening round against Marta Kostyuk where the Australian Open champion’s mentality will but pushed to its very limits. After that, it’s a relatively comfortable draw for Sabalenka although former champion Jelena Ostapenko could be a quarter-final match if Caroline Garcia doesn’t improve her form in front of her home crowd. The draw is as good as Sabalenka would have hoped and the form guide suggests that it’s either a first round exit or a run to the final and the second seed will be hoping for the latter as she looks to win her second Grand Slam of the season.
Pegula has been given a brutal draw even if she has comfortable head-to-heads against Danielle Collins and Camila Giorgi. The American will be given a tough test of her clay court credentials against Elise Mertens before potentially facing Anastasia Potapova in the last 16, who has given Pegula some tough battles. Ultimately the American will do well to get to the semi-finals given the strength of her opposition on clay and how Pegula has struggled against some of her potential opponents.
Rybakina has potentially a few early tests to navigate through where the likes of Linda Noskova, Petra Martic and Shelby Rogers could test Rybakina’s consistency early on. In the second week Beatriz Haddad Maia will look to use her variety and court craft to edge past the Kazakh while Ons Jabeur will look to pose a different test in the last eight. Overall Rybakina is expected to reach the latter stages of Roland Garros where a motivated Swiatek will be keen to show the Wimbledon champion why she is the dominant force on clay.
Roland Garros 2023 takes place between 28 May and 11 June.
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