- Dominic Thiem [3] v Daniil Medvedev [4]
- We crunch the numbers, so you don’t have to as once more the season-ending finale will have a first-time winner
LONDON, UK – Dominic Thiem will have a second crack at the title as Daniil Medvedev buries his debut and makes the final for the first time.
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The 2020 Nitto ATP Finals will have another new champion as Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev battle it out in Sunday’s final. They will be the sixth different player in six years to claim the title.
- 2015 Novak Djokovic
- 2016 Andy Murray
- 2017 Grigor Dimitrov
- 2018 Alexander Zverev
- 2019 Stefanos Tsitsipas
- 2020 Thiem or Medvedev
Head to Head
| Dominic Thiem [3] | Daniil Medvedev [4] |
| 3 | 1 |
It looked like one-way traffic for Thiem until the summer of 2019 where Medvedev made his outstanding run in the US hard-court swing leading up to the final of the US Open. With this their second meeting on an indoor hard court, Thiem makes the first strike.
Advantage: Thiem
Titles History
| Thiem | Medvedev | |
| Titles (2020) | 17 (1) | 8 (1) |
| Slams | 1 | 0 |
Medvedev and Thiem played each other in the juniors, but Thiem has had the more illustrious career so far, culminating with winning his maiden Slam this year. Medvedev has had more success at the Masters 1000 level and since a breakthrough year last year has more than proved his credentials at the top of the rankings.
Advantage: Thiem
Year to Date/Career W/L Record
| Thiem | Medvedev | |
| All surfaces W/L | 25-8 / 300-156 | 27-10 / 158-86 |
| Indoor court | 5-2 / 54-37 | 13-4 / 53-25 |
Medvedev has been a little more prolific indoors this year, and came into the tournament off the back of a third Masters title in Paris.
Advantage: Medvedev
Match Stats 2020
| Thiem | Medvedev | |
| Tie-Breaks | 17-10 | 5-5 |
| Deciding Sets | 7-4 | 8-4 |
Thiem leads the way in rounding out his tie-breaks whereas for Medvedev it could go either way, but the Russian just has the edge if he forces a match into a decider.
Deuce
Tournament
| Thiem | Medvedev | |
| Aces | 37 | 31 |
| DFs | 12 | 10 |
| 1st Serve Percentage | 67 | 69 |
| 1st Serve Points won (%) | 76 | 79 |
| 2nd Serve Points won (%) | 51.2 | 51.3 |
| Service Games won (%) | 89 | 90 |
| Break points saved (%) | 67 | 69 |
| 1st Serve Return Points won (%) | 22 | 30 |
| 2nd Serve Return Points won (%) | 45 | 61 |
| Return Games won (%) | 7 | 30 |
| Break Points converted (%) | 33 | 35 |
| Time on court | 8:51 | 6:40 |
Statistically, Medvedev has been the better player statistically as the come into the final.
Advantage: Medvedev
What they had to say
Thiem has the benefit of experience of being in this position as well as the last five years in the last-eight line-up.
“After I fought so hard to get to the final in the group stage and as well now today. Of course, I will try everything to win the title. Anyway, now we’re going to have again a first-time winner, no matter what happens in the second semi-final. Both of them will fight 100 per cent today and as well tomorrow, but I’m looking forward a lot.
“It’s going to be the last match of a very special, of a very tough year for everybody, I guess. We’re going to try to put [on] a great show for everybody that is watching.”
Medvedev found himself in big company last year, and had a humbling debut, so it feels like now we are seeing his true potential.
“It’s great that we managed, to beat two most biggest players in the history of sport. So, I think it’s super for tennis. We are starting to get to take our marks. Dominic won his first slam, playing unbelievable tennis right now. Not gonna be easy. Hopefully I can play good like this. I for sure can cause him some troubles.”
Although we have had players that are not the Big Three+ in the finals before, including last year, this is beginning to feel like it is a changing of the guard.
The Nitto ATP Finals singles title match takes place not before 6pm (GMT).
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