Carlos Alcaraz’s first Masters 1000 title defence couldn’t have gone any better as the Spaniard is into the semi-finals in Miami without dropping a set. Alcaraz’s latest victory over Taylor Fritz was proof that the world number one is the man to beat on the ATP tour having won 18 matches this season, beating some of his nearest rivals. The 19 year-old’s aggressive attack and stern defence from the baseline is a winning combination as the Spaniard continues to be clinical in the big moments. Now Alcaraz looks to reach his second consecutive Miami Open final and gain big momentum heading into the clay court swing.
Next for Alcaraz is one of his nearest rivals in his generation in the form of Italian Jannik Sinner. Sinner has also had an impressive season, scoring 19 victories in 2023 as he now reaches back-to-back semi-finals in America. The world number 11’s big serving and accurate hitting from the baseline has seen him adapt to all surfaces with his patience in longer rallies improving and earning the desired results. Having not dropped a set all tournament, Sinner would love nothing more than to go one step further than he did in 2021 and win the title in Miami.
Alcaraz will look to use his footwork and overall variety to force Sinner into different positions in the court as well forcing unforced errors from the Italian. Meanwhile Sinner will look to use depth, spin and power to test Alcaraz’s rally tolerance and set up powerful baseline winners to take the Spaniard’s power out of the match. These two players know each other well having played just last week in Indian Wells with Alcaraz winning in straight sets in California. This time around it should go to three sets but with the same outcome as Alcaraz’s consistent quality will see him into a second consecutive Masters 1000 final.
Prediction: Alcaraz in three sets.
Petra Kvitova  v Sorana Cirstea H2H & Match Fundamentals
Petra Kvitova really has brought her best tennis to the ‘sunshine double’ this year as the former Wimbledon champion has bettered her result from Indian Wells and is into the semi-finals in Miami. Kvitova’s three set victory over Ekaterina Alexandrova really showed what Kvitova is about in the year 2023 with the Czech Republican displaying power, grit, passion and on-court intelligence to battle her way through a tight match. If Kvitova can keep up this consistency then she will believe that another deep Grand Slam run isn’t too far away as she looks to reach her first Miami Open final.
Next for Kvitova is the surprise package of the tournament in the form of Sorana Cirstea, who after a poor start to the season is into the last four in Miami. The Romanian played some flawless tennis to beat the in-form Australian Open champion Aryna Sabalenka in the quarter-finals with Cirstea playing some of the best and smartest tennis of her career. Having waited for opportunities like this for most of her career, Cirstea will know that this a massive moment in her career that she will have to take as she looks to reach her second career WTA 1000 final.
Kvitova will look to continue her dominant serving as she looks to dictate the tempo of the rallies with her forehand. Meanwhile Cirstea will look to continue to produce high quality returns and use depth to neutralise Kvitova’s attacking qualities. This should be an entertaining match with both players playing incredibly consistent tennis but in the end it will be Kvitova’s experience and grit that will edge her to victory.
Prediction: Kvitova in three sets.
Daniil Medvedev  v Karen Khachanov  H2H & Match Fundamentals
It’s been quite the turnaround since the Australian Open for Daniil Medvedev who now finds himself in a sixth ATP semi-final of the season. On four of the previous five occasions this season, that has usually resulted in Medvedev being in the final and on the basis of current form it’s hard to argue why that shouldn’t be the case again this week. The world number five is yet to drop a set this week and Medvedev’s mix of power and accuracy has proven to be a tricky formula to break down so far this season as a first Miami Open final awaits the former US Open champion.
Next up for Medvedev is compatriot Karen Khachanov who is into another semi-final after having turbulent form since reaching his second consecutive Grand Slam semi-final at the Australian Open. Khachanov produced a solid performance to defeat last year’s semi-finalist Francisco Cerundolo with the 14th seed playing some of the most confident tennis of his career. Now Khachanov will look to continue his red-hot form at the big tournaments as he searches for a second Masters 1000 final.
Medvedev will look to use his accurate ground-strokes and impressively consistent serving to target the Khachanov backhand. Meanwhile Khachanov will look to use the angles to set up space in the open court to hit winners into. Khachanov will like the Miami Open conditions to impose his game style on but Medvedev should have too much consistency to advance to his first final in Miami.
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