Jannik Sinner in the first round of the 2023 US Open
Jannik Sinner in the first round of the 2023 US Open | (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

Tennis | Australian Open 2024 | Jannik Sinner bids for maiden Grand Slam title against marathon man Medvedev

By Tony Fairbairn

  • Daniil Medvedev [3] v Jannik Sinner [4]
  • H2H: Medvedev leads 6-3
MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA – Jannik Sinner will seek a maiden Grand Slam title when he takes on Daniil Medvedev for the Australian Open title in the men’s singles final.


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Daniil Medvedev [3] v Jannik Sinner [4] H2H & Match Fundamentals

Daniil Medvedev’s nickname in Melbourne is the marathon man as the world number three has been through three five set matches to get to the final. Medvedev’s latest victory over Alexander Zverev saw the third seed come back from two sets down as the former US Open champion now has his sights set on a maiden Australian Open title. Standing in Medvedev’s way is Jannik Sinner with the Italian becoming the first from his country to reach an Australian Open final in singles after he knocked out ten-time champion Novak Djokovic in four sets.

Daniil Medvedev [3] v Jannik Sinner [4]      H2H: Medvedev leads 6-3  
Australian Open 2024 Melbourne, Australia 
Hard (O) Prize Money: $1,725,000/$3,150,000
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Medvedev has spent more time and energy on court having gone to five sets on three separate occasions as well as experiencing late finishes. Meanwhile Sinner has been the best player of the tournament over the fortnight with the Italian only dropping one set over the six matches he has played.

Daniil Medvedev [3] route to the final

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R1: Terence Atmane [Q] 5-7 6-2 6-4 1-0 RET

R2: Emil Ruusuvuori 3-6 6-7(1) 6-4 7-6(1) 6-0

R3: Felix Auger-Aliassime [27] 6-3 6-4 6-3

R4: Nuno Borges 6-3 7-6(4) 5-7 6-1

QF: Hubert Hurkacz [9] 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 5-7 6-4

SF: Alexander Zverev [6] 5-7 3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-3

Jannik Sinner [4] route to the final

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R1: Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 7-5 6-3

R2: Jesper De Jong [Q] 6-2 6-2 6-2

R3: Sebastian Baez [26] 6-0 6-1 6-3

R4: Karen Khachanov [15] 6-4 7-5 6-3

QF: Andrey Rublev [5] 6-4 7-6(5) 6-3

SF: Novak Djokovic [1] 6-1 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3


Tale of the Tape – Key Stats (2024)

H2H: Daniil Medvedev (WR 3) Jannik Sinner (WR 4)
Tournament Previous Best Final (2021, 2022) QF (2022)   
1st Serve % 61.2 60.7
Service Games Won % 81.9 97.7
Break Points Saved % 63.5 92.9
2nd Serve Return Points Won % 52.3 60.3
Break Points Converted % 42.3 46.2

Medvedev’s first serve has been more consistent but when it comes to efficiency nobody has been more clinical than Sinner so far this season.



Playing Styles and Prediction

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Medvedev has had to work hard in order to reach his third Australian Open final having produced a stunning comeback against Zverev.

Now the world number three will look to end his Grand Slam drought as he looks for a second title at Grand Slam level and a first in Melbourne.

Reflecting on his fortnight in Melbourne, Medvedev admitted he is capable of more than he thought as he has had to be mentally strong to get to the final.

“Mentally 100 per cent, I’m stronger than I was before this tournament because now I know that I’m capable of some things maybe I thought I’m not,” Medvedev told the ATP website.

“Because before I didn’t do anything like this to get to the final. Mentally I’m stronger than before and I’m happy about it. Probably honestly, it’s better to be in the final winning three-set, four-set matches. That’s the better way physically. But it is what it is, and I’m proud and looking forward to the final to give 100 per cent again.”

In the final Medvedev will face Sinner who has been by far the best player of the tournament as he ended Djokovic’s Australian Open reign with a convincing victory.

Now the Italian looks to be the first from his country to win a singles title at the Australian Open as he searches for a first Grand Slam title.

After his incredible win over Djokovic, Sinner compared the emotions of beating a player of Djokovic’s calibre and the emotions he will experience in his first Grand Slam final.

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“I feel these kind of emotions you cannot control,” Sinner told the ATP website.

“If someone celebrates in one way, you celebrate because this is the emotion that you are feeling [at that moment]. Obviously it means so much to me to beat Novak here in Melbourne, but in another way, I know that the tournament is not over.

“Sunday is a final. It’s different emotions because the final is always different. It doesn’t really matter how big the tournament is. In my mind today I knew it was a semi-final. It’s not that you win the tournament like this. So I’m looking forward to Sunday, and let’s see what’s coming.”

Medvedev will aim to take away Sinner’s energy by extending the rallies and making this a war of attrition by using the forehand to limit the Italian’s options.

Meanwhile the Italian will look to dominate with his forehand and use the angles to outpower Medvedev as Sinner will look to finish points off at the net.

It’s the potential nerves of Sinner against the potential weary legs of Medvedev as a first Australian Open title beckons for both players.

In the end Sinner’s confidence and power should edge him towards a first Grand Slam title in what should be a classic Grand Slam final.

Prediction: Sinner in four sets.



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