On first look, it would appear that Murray will be up against it from the more consistent Scwartzman over the year – but it is wirth noting these stats have to be indoor and outdoor combined, as this will be Schwartzman’s first indoor hard court match.
Murray has been steadily improving the more he has played, although always the perfectionist, he is still unhappy with how he is making his playing decisions. However he hung in toe-to-toe with Tiafoe in the first round and it has been a while since he has gone for three straight tie-break sets. How he pulls up will be very important.
Schwartzman might well be smarting at being outplayed by eventual Indian Wells champion Cameron Norrie, so it will stick a little to be beaten by a second Brit in a row.
Murray’s defence and point construction is of course legendary by now, but in Schwartzman he faces as good a returner (if not better) than himself.
Arguably the more compact Argentine will move a little better than the man with the tin hip, and this could be another gruelling round for Murray.
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